Bases of the Social. Forecasting (Practice)

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Uploaded: 11.12.2010
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Moscow Institute of Management and Law
Task number 1
To forecast sales of bakery products in the store on the 11th working day. It is well known that over the past 10 days of the sale volume of bakery products was as follows:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
2.5 2.8 2.0 2.4 2.3 2.9 2.7 2.2 2.3 2.8
Task number 2
To forecast the volume of paid services to the company for the years 2006 and 2007. It is known that in 2002 the volume of paid services in the company amounted to 207 USD, and in 2005 - 228 USD Prevailing conditions ra-boats company will not change significantly.
Task number 3
The market share of product "A" in the company was set at 6%, and product "B" - in the amount of 5.4% of goods-tion market in the region. Define sales forecast product "A" and "B" of the company in 2007. It is known that the regional forecast of demand for product "A" is this year's 20 th. USD and product "B" - 5 th. Y. e.
Task number 4
Determine the volume of production for the company to issue, if fixed costs increase by 10% and the market price of the goods decreased by 5%. Other conditions coincide with the conditions, if the measure (5).
Task number 5
Determine the firm border sales of goods in which its earnings are equal to zero, which is necessary to support a specific plan of commodity products available at current cost. Fixed costs firms to produce products is 2000 USD, the level of variable costs - 30% in the price of goods. PRODUCT TO-made structure in the perspective of the changes, the market price of the goods (without VAT and excise tax) - $ 5
Setting the number 6
What should be the proceeds from the sale of the company, necessary for predusmatri Wai-sum profit. Turnover of the company in the purchase process may be 3000 USD In constants costs - $ 200, the level of variable costs developed at a rate of 10% to bail out-ke needed income $ 150
Target number 7
Determine the payback period. We know that investment in the project is compiled, 40 USD Forecasted annual income from an investment of $ 30 including cost structure, lyayut 25 USD (Cash flow method)
Task number 8
To determine the elasticities of demand for elektrobatareyki sold for the price of 5 rubles. In an average week, the store sells 15 units. If you reduce the price of batteries to 4.3 rubles, according to the sellers for the week you can sell them for 18 pieces. Based on this in-formation is possible to determine the static coefficient of elasticity of demand for the price of the batteries.
Setting the number 9
Predict the sale of goods "B" with a coefficient of elasticity of demand on the price of 1.08.
The region could increase the price of goods from 15 to 17 rubles. Actual turnover was in the re-gion in the last year 90 thousand rubles.
Task number 10
To determine the possible effect of advertising in the trading company. The company conditionally annual tova-rooborot 4000 USD After the advertising it can be (based on analogous-tech measures in the past 4,600 USD). The current return on advertising to 3% of turnover, race-courses on advertising 15 USD

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