Active Forecast

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Uploaded: 30.09.2008
Content: novikov_active_prgnosis.pdf (585,32 kB)

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Authors: DA Novikov, AG Chkhartishvili.
The present work contains the results of studies of game-theoretic models of the active forecast
which is regarded as a kind of information management in organizational systems.
In addition, the results of the study describes the types of information management such as information management and reflexive upravlenie.Rabota designed for specialists (theorists and practitioners) for the management of organizational systems.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Active and passive forecast
2. The model of decision-making
3. Management and its types
4. Impact of Messaging Center to choose an agent
4.1. Principle of confidence
4.2. Reflexive control
5. Information balance
6. The problem of active prediction
7. Accuracy and effectiveness of the active forecast
8. The problem of the stability of Information Management
9. Examples of models of information management
9.1. Example 1 (Manufacturer mediator)
9.2. Example 2 (co-production)
9.3. Example 3 (market competition)
9.4. Example 4 (resource allocation)
9.5. Example 5 (Auction)
9.6. Example 6 (pay-off)

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